Hypatia Blue and Milldean Buster...
... were both last in the Quarter Finals of the Ladbroke Arc.
I've lost 2 points on each dog - so I am not doing very well in the Arc.
I have put another 2 points win onto Mustang Garcia at 9/2 which I feel could still win this trophy even though it finished 2nd in its heat.
On the graphs that I have made for the semi-finals it still looks like the best dog although Milldean Flash is a fast improving dog that could match Mustang Garcia; luckily they are in different heats!
So my selections are Milldean Flash in heat 1 and Mustang Garcia in heat 2.
Come racing!!
Monday, February 18, 2008
Friday, February 15, 2008
Romeo Maldini didn't win...
...but Mustang Garcia did.
And it did it in a fast time which looks promising for the final. But first we have to get through the Quarter and Semi finals..
I bet 2 points on Mustang Garcia at 7/4 which brought me back 3 1/2 points so that pays for that ante post bet. I lost 2 points on Romeo Maldini.
Now for the Quarter Finals on Saturday. I said we would have more information after the last heats and I have done 4 graphs to compare the dogs that are left in the competition.
Unfortunately I am unable to publish the graphs (as is my usual practise) but on analysing them, looking for realistic chances of getting through the Quarter Finals, I have selected two dogs that could qualify at pretty good prices (I have to try to limit my bets so that I end up with a profit!)
I have put 1 point ew on Hypatia Blue 20/1 and Milldean Buster at 10/1 ante post for the final. (1/4 odds four places.)
So with Mustang Garcia I have 3 dogs running for me. I'm tempted to put more on this dog which I bet at 10/1 but the price is now 9/2. I will think about it and perhaps add another two points tomorrow and I might bet some forecasts or doubles also ... I'll see...
Come racing!!
...but Mustang Garcia did.
And it did it in a fast time which looks promising for the final. But first we have to get through the Quarter and Semi finals..
I bet 2 points on Mustang Garcia at 7/4 which brought me back 3 1/2 points so that pays for that ante post bet. I lost 2 points on Romeo Maldini.
Now for the Quarter Finals on Saturday. I said we would have more information after the last heats and I have done 4 graphs to compare the dogs that are left in the competition.
Unfortunately I am unable to publish the graphs (as is my usual practise) but on analysing them, looking for realistic chances of getting through the Quarter Finals, I have selected two dogs that could qualify at pretty good prices (I have to try to limit my bets so that I end up with a profit!)
I have put 1 point ew on Hypatia Blue 20/1 and Milldean Buster at 10/1 ante post for the final. (1/4 odds four places.)
So with Mustang Garcia I have 3 dogs running for me. I'm tempted to put more on this dog which I bet at 10/1 but the price is now 9/2. I will think about it and perhaps add another two points tomorrow and I might bet some forecasts or doubles also ... I'll see...
Come racing!!
Monday, February 11, 2008
Hey, I'm back after couple of months...
...to try my hand at the Ladbrokes. com Arc over 475m at Walthamstowe.
I have had a look through the form of the 48 dogs in the 8 heats looking for at least two dogs to have a bet on. It is a tough call but I have settled on:
Mustang Garcia 2 points win, and 1 point ew, at 10's Ladbrokes odds.
and: Romeo Maldini 1 point ew at 25/1. (1/4 odds a place 1.2.3.4.)
I'm only attempting, at this stage, to pick two dogs to get through the first heat and then we will have more information to see if the qualifiers, 3 from each heat, have better prospects of getting to the final than the two I have picked. If there are dogs that stand out then we will consider whether to add them to the portfolio. The first heats are run Tuesday 12th Feb.
Come racing!!
...to try my hand at the Ladbrokes. com Arc over 475m at Walthamstowe.
I have had a look through the form of the 48 dogs in the 8 heats looking for at least two dogs to have a bet on. It is a tough call but I have settled on:
Mustang Garcia 2 points win, and 1 point ew, at 10's Ladbrokes odds.
and: Romeo Maldini 1 point ew at 25/1. (1/4 odds a place 1.2.3.4.)
I'm only attempting, at this stage, to pick two dogs to get through the first heat and then we will have more information to see if the qualifiers, 3 from each heat, have better prospects of getting to the final than the two I have picked. If there are dogs that stand out then we will consider whether to add them to the portfolio. The first heats are run Tuesday 12th Feb.
Come racing!!
Saturday, November 17, 2007
Update on Blue Square 480m Final …
… at Coventry stadium.
Minnies Premier was last in a 5 dog race; it simply did not have enough experience but I think it will eventually turn out to be a good dog. I lost 2 points on it.
Barnfield On Air was the worthy winner of the Blue Square 480 Cup.
In the Romford Puppy Derby my two selections Westmead Keawn and Mustang Garcia finished 1st and 4th.
I won 16 points on Westmead Keawn and lost 2 points on Mustang Garcia.
The all England Cup at Newcastle was unprofitable for me as I lost 2 points on Killieford Brave; 6th in the semi final.
Magna Action qualified for the Final but ran a bad race finishing last in a 5 dog race.
Yet this dog, I believe, will improve as it comes from the fine kennel of trainer Barry Draper.
So my profit on those bets was: 8 points. Not a lot; it is not easy to place ante post bets from a great number at entry stage – but it’s certainly interesting as you can track your selections through the heats and get a buzz each time the dogs run.
Win or lose...
I probably won’t be tackling any races until sometime in December, as I have other things to do, but I will be on the look out for more opportunities nonetheless. So look out for my next venture with this on line dog racing diary (or blog, as it is called).
In the meantime…
Come racing!!
… at Coventry stadium.
Minnies Premier was last in a 5 dog race; it simply did not have enough experience but I think it will eventually turn out to be a good dog. I lost 2 points on it.
Barnfield On Air was the worthy winner of the Blue Square 480 Cup.
In the Romford Puppy Derby my two selections Westmead Keawn and Mustang Garcia finished 1st and 4th.
I won 16 points on Westmead Keawn and lost 2 points on Mustang Garcia.
The all England Cup at Newcastle was unprofitable for me as I lost 2 points on Killieford Brave; 6th in the semi final.
Magna Action qualified for the Final but ran a bad race finishing last in a 5 dog race.
Yet this dog, I believe, will improve as it comes from the fine kennel of trainer Barry Draper.
So my profit on those bets was: 8 points. Not a lot; it is not easy to place ante post bets from a great number at entry stage – but it’s certainly interesting as you can track your selections through the heats and get a buzz each time the dogs run.
Win or lose...
I probably won’t be tackling any races until sometime in December, as I have other things to do, but I will be on the look out for more opportunities nonetheless. So look out for my next venture with this on line dog racing diary (or blog, as it is called).
In the meantime…
Come racing!!
Thursday, November 08, 2007
Spiridon Louis deserved to win…
…the Greyhound St Leger.
My selection: Iceman Brutus, in trap 1, ran a fairly good race but unfortunately finished last!
The writing was on the wall early on with the outside dogs winning at Wimbledon, so I was resigned to the fact that Iceman Brutus wasn’t going to win and when it drifted to 7/1 on course, it was clear that the bookies had got it right. Ah! well. Too bad! I lost 14 points on the exercise; from the beginning of the first heats to the final. In ante post betting you are lucky if you get one through to the final, so I was pleased from that point of view, to have a runner.
What about the fate of my other ante post bets?
Well one that I posted a while ago, Temple Lad at 33/1 got to the semi final of the Blue Square 480 Cup at Coventry and then dipped out, it was last, too!
After I had posted that one…I did an additional bet for the Final at Coventry, which is run tonight (Thursday, 8th Nov), called Minnies Premier at 40/1 which has reached the final, although it’s chance of winning doesn’t seem very good as it is up against the Coventry 480 track record holder, Barnfield On Air. As usual, though, I’m only looking for a place as the bet is for 1st 2nd or 3rd spot.
Two other bets I have running in the Romford Puppy Cup Final look quite promising (unfortunately, although I made some graphs on this competition I didn’t manage to post them on my blog ).
The dogs in question are: Westmead Keawn; 2 points win at 5/1 and 2 points win at 3/1; and a 1 point each way bet on Mustang Garcia at 14/1. I would make the most money from these bets if Westmead Keawn won and Mustang Garcia finished in, at least, 3rd place.
The All England Cup is in progress at present, run at Newcastle, so I have placed two ante post bets on: Magna Action at 20/1 and Killieford Brave 33/1; both each way. The selections were made from graphs but they are drawn in the same semi final and only the first two home can reach the final. (There’s 3 semi finals in this competition).
Killieford Brave is a lightly raced greyhound and on looking up it’s lifetime form I see that it was 2nd to Barnfield On Air during it’s career. I guess that’s what swayed me; plus, I think you can’t win at gambling unless you take a chance on something now and then. So even though it may be found 'wanting' I think it is worth taking a chance on.
If you fancy any of the above, feel free to bet them– sorry I can’t post any graphs at present.. but I’ll let you know how I get on– win or lose!
Come racing!!
…the Greyhound St Leger.
My selection: Iceman Brutus, in trap 1, ran a fairly good race but unfortunately finished last!
The writing was on the wall early on with the outside dogs winning at Wimbledon, so I was resigned to the fact that Iceman Brutus wasn’t going to win and when it drifted to 7/1 on course, it was clear that the bookies had got it right. Ah! well. Too bad! I lost 14 points on the exercise; from the beginning of the first heats to the final. In ante post betting you are lucky if you get one through to the final, so I was pleased from that point of view, to have a runner.
What about the fate of my other ante post bets?
Well one that I posted a while ago, Temple Lad at 33/1 got to the semi final of the Blue Square 480 Cup at Coventry and then dipped out, it was last, too!
After I had posted that one…I did an additional bet for the Final at Coventry, which is run tonight (Thursday, 8th Nov), called Minnies Premier at 40/1 which has reached the final, although it’s chance of winning doesn’t seem very good as it is up against the Coventry 480 track record holder, Barnfield On Air. As usual, though, I’m only looking for a place as the bet is for 1st 2nd or 3rd spot.
Two other bets I have running in the Romford Puppy Cup Final look quite promising (unfortunately, although I made some graphs on this competition I didn’t manage to post them on my blog ).
The dogs in question are: Westmead Keawn; 2 points win at 5/1 and 2 points win at 3/1; and a 1 point each way bet on Mustang Garcia at 14/1. I would make the most money from these bets if Westmead Keawn won and Mustang Garcia finished in, at least, 3rd place.
The All England Cup is in progress at present, run at Newcastle, so I have placed two ante post bets on: Magna Action at 20/1 and Killieford Brave 33/1; both each way. The selections were made from graphs but they are drawn in the same semi final and only the first two home can reach the final. (There’s 3 semi finals in this competition).
Killieford Brave is a lightly raced greyhound and on looking up it’s lifetime form I see that it was 2nd to Barnfield On Air during it’s career. I guess that’s what swayed me; plus, I think you can’t win at gambling unless you take a chance on something now and then. So even though it may be found 'wanting' I think it is worth taking a chance on.
If you fancy any of the above, feel free to bet them– sorry I can’t post any graphs at present.. but I’ll let you know how I get on– win or lose!
Come racing!!
Thursday, October 25, 2007
A good Final is in prospect...
...because the 6 dogs in the Greyhound St Leger look evenly matched.
The two ‘significant improvers’– looking at the graph at the bottom of the page - are Lenson Joker, trap 4 and and Westmead Aoifa, trap 6. Both dogs ought to give a good account of themselves and it is difficult to exclude Westmead Aoifa from the calculations because of the reputation of Nick Savva, its trainer, who always gets that little bit extra out of his dogs.
But there are 3 mighty competitors in traps 1, 2, 3; Iceman Brutus, Directors Chair and Spiridon Lewis to contend with, and I think these 3 will fight out the finish.
I’ve put my money on Iceman Brutus, not the fastest starter - that's Directors Chair – but a tough nut to crack . Therefore I’ve increased my stake on him by another 2 points at 6/1 to win the Wimbledon Final.
I hope Local Knowledge trap 5, doesn’t turn up again to win and spoil the party as he did to put my Tricast down in the first semi-final heat!
In the second heat of the semi-final I had my 3 selections in the Tricast frame - but the wrong way round.
My total loss: 4 points. (You could say: it serves me right for not making it a Combination Tricast– it paid £41.21 but I had a definite plan… it just didn’t work this time.)
Sad to say, Greenwell Flash the dog that wrecked my Tricast in the quarter finals, suffered a leg injury and had to be put down; poor thing. It is a great loss to its Scottish trainer.
Study the graph and come to your own conclusions; I’ve told you what I’m doing. Best of luck…
The split times, indicting the fastest starters are listed at the top of the graph and there are 4 rail runners; and two middle seeds in trap 5 and 6.
Come racing!!
...because the 6 dogs in the Greyhound St Leger look evenly matched.
The two ‘significant improvers’– looking at the graph at the bottom of the page - are Lenson Joker, trap 4 and and Westmead Aoifa, trap 6. Both dogs ought to give a good account of themselves and it is difficult to exclude Westmead Aoifa from the calculations because of the reputation of Nick Savva, its trainer, who always gets that little bit extra out of his dogs.
But there are 3 mighty competitors in traps 1, 2, 3; Iceman Brutus, Directors Chair and Spiridon Lewis to contend with, and I think these 3 will fight out the finish.
I’ve put my money on Iceman Brutus, not the fastest starter - that's Directors Chair – but a tough nut to crack . Therefore I’ve increased my stake on him by another 2 points at 6/1 to win the Wimbledon Final.
I hope Local Knowledge trap 5, doesn’t turn up again to win and spoil the party as he did to put my Tricast down in the first semi-final heat!
In the second heat of the semi-final I had my 3 selections in the Tricast frame - but the wrong way round.
My total loss: 4 points. (You could say: it serves me right for not making it a Combination Tricast– it paid £41.21 but I had a definite plan… it just didn’t work this time.)
Sad to say, Greenwell Flash the dog that wrecked my Tricast in the quarter finals, suffered a leg injury and had to be put down; poor thing. It is a great loss to its Scottish trainer.
Study the graph and come to your own conclusions; I’ve told you what I’m doing. Best of luck…
The split times, indicting the fastest starters are listed at the top of the graph and there are 4 rail runners; and two middle seeds in trap 5 and 6.
Come racing!!
Monday, October 22, 2007
Rockingham was 3rd...
...in the final of the Irish Laurels netting me a 25 points return on my 1 point ew bet; 1/4 odds 4 places.
The race was spoiled by the withdrawal of Droopy Robino the odds on ante post favourite. It was fortunate for me, though, having a dog at 100/1 in a 5 dog race.
The Final was won by Catunda Harry, Tyrur Laurel 2nd and Rockingham 3rd. I’ve never taken much notice of the weights of the dogs before but I looked at the result and Rockingham was the lightest by a good margin in the race. It makes me wonder if at this level of racing you need to have a really strong well made dog to succeed ? I may consider that in future.
I lost track a little with my investments on this race (because I often bet after I do my blog) and doing my sums I reckon I made a total profit on the Laurels of 27. 25 points. Which wasn’t bad.
The good thing about betting dogs at this class of racing is that it is likely that dogs will all be trying. It is half the battle if you can put money down with some confidence that it is unlikely that your dog has been stopped!
Now to the Greyhound St Leger…
My tricast was unsuccessful in heat 1 of the Quarter Finals . The dog that let me down was my 3rd place banker: Big Brett Coal. The dog I was scared of Greenwell Flash ran into 3rd spot. So I lost 2 points.
Droopy Requiem (my ante post bet) was in the lead most of the way in its race but could not sustain the pace. Lost 2 points ante post.
Danes Black (also anante post bet) was last, in its race. Lost 2 points. So that’s my ante post bets up in the air!
Of the 9 red marks, indicating dogs that might qualify at a good price, I put at the bottom of the graph on my previous bog …6 out of the 9 got through… and didn’t I just have to pick 2 of the 3 that failed. Yup!!
So, what about the semi finals? You will find them on the two graphs I have supplied. Please enlarge them in a separate window.
Have a look and see if the there are any good bets there. Discreet Cat doesn’t seem to have the figures to qualify in the first heat and Local Knowledge, which I think is a good dog, might struggle to get home.
I’m going to try another straight Tricast bet using trap 1 Directors Chair and trap 2 Iceman Brutus with Vatican Junky as my third place banker. That will be 2 bets at 1 point each bet.
I’m trying the same bet in the 2nd heat using trap 1 Spiridon Louis and trap 6 Westmead Aoifa with Lenson Joker as my 3rd place banker.
I like to set myself little challenges – and Iceman Brutus helped me win a good Tricast doing this same bet earlier in the season. If I lose it will only cost me 4 points…
Looking at Ladbrokes prices for the Final I can see only 4 prices of any value after two heats:
Iceman Brutus: my price1/1; Ladbrokes 6/1– excellent value.
Directors Chair: my price 2/1: Ladbrokes 7/1- excellent value
Westmead Aoifa: my price 2/1 Ladbrokes 4/1- good value.
Greenwell Flash: my price 4/1; Ladbrokes 16/1–very good value.
I fancy Iceman Brutus to win the competition so I will bet it 2 points win. I should really bet it in the semi so that if it wins it pays for the bet!
Come racing!!
...in the final of the Irish Laurels netting me a 25 points return on my 1 point ew bet; 1/4 odds 4 places.
The race was spoiled by the withdrawal of Droopy Robino the odds on ante post favourite. It was fortunate for me, though, having a dog at 100/1 in a 5 dog race.
The Final was won by Catunda Harry, Tyrur Laurel 2nd and Rockingham 3rd. I’ve never taken much notice of the weights of the dogs before but I looked at the result and Rockingham was the lightest by a good margin in the race. It makes me wonder if at this level of racing you need to have a really strong well made dog to succeed ? I may consider that in future.
I lost track a little with my investments on this race (because I often bet after I do my blog) and doing my sums I reckon I made a total profit on the Laurels of 27. 25 points. Which wasn’t bad.
The good thing about betting dogs at this class of racing is that it is likely that dogs will all be trying. It is half the battle if you can put money down with some confidence that it is unlikely that your dog has been stopped!
Now to the Greyhound St Leger…
My tricast was unsuccessful in heat 1 of the Quarter Finals . The dog that let me down was my 3rd place banker: Big Brett Coal. The dog I was scared of Greenwell Flash ran into 3rd spot. So I lost 2 points.
Droopy Requiem (my ante post bet) was in the lead most of the way in its race but could not sustain the pace. Lost 2 points ante post.
Danes Black (also anante post bet) was last, in its race. Lost 2 points. So that’s my ante post bets up in the air!
Of the 9 red marks, indicating dogs that might qualify at a good price, I put at the bottom of the graph on my previous bog …6 out of the 9 got through… and didn’t I just have to pick 2 of the 3 that failed. Yup!!
So, what about the semi finals? You will find them on the two graphs I have supplied. Please enlarge them in a separate window.
Have a look and see if the there are any good bets there. Discreet Cat doesn’t seem to have the figures to qualify in the first heat and Local Knowledge, which I think is a good dog, might struggle to get home.
I’m going to try another straight Tricast bet using trap 1 Directors Chair and trap 2 Iceman Brutus with Vatican Junky as my third place banker. That will be 2 bets at 1 point each bet.
I’m trying the same bet in the 2nd heat using trap 1 Spiridon Louis and trap 6 Westmead Aoifa with Lenson Joker as my 3rd place banker.
I like to set myself little challenges – and Iceman Brutus helped me win a good Tricast doing this same bet earlier in the season. If I lose it will only cost me 4 points…
Looking at Ladbrokes prices for the Final I can see only 4 prices of any value after two heats:
Iceman Brutus: my price1/1; Ladbrokes 6/1– excellent value.
Directors Chair: my price 2/1: Ladbrokes 7/1- excellent value
Westmead Aoifa: my price 2/1 Ladbrokes 4/1- good value.
Greenwell Flash: my price 4/1; Ladbrokes 16/1–very good value.
I fancy Iceman Brutus to win the competition so I will bet it 2 points win. I should really bet it in the semi so that if it wins it pays for the bet!
Come racing!!
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)